Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.003371 0.003763 0.004172 0.004630 0.005126 0.005647 0.006236
2024-10-06 0.002848 0.003413 0.004036 0.004767 0.005600 0.006516 0.007595
2024-10-13 0.002554 0.003223 0.003986 0.004916 0.006011 0.007251 0.008754
2024-10-20 0.002191 0.002898 0.003734 0.004785 0.006059 0.007540 0.009378
2024-10-27 0.001951 0.002690 0.003592 0.004758 0.006205 0.007925 0.010103
2024-11-03 0.001730 0.002484 0.003430 0.004683 0.006275 0.008205 0.010695
2024-11-10 0.001569 0.002337 0.003327 0.004669 0.006409 0.008556 0.011370
2024-11-17 0.001418 0.002190 0.003210 0.004625 0.006494 0.008840 0.011959
2024-11-24 0.001340 0.002135 0.003211 0.004729 0.006768 0.009362 0.012855
2024-12-01 0.001197 0.001976 0.003057 0.004615 0.006746 0.009499 0.013256
2024-12-08 0.001103 0.001881 0.002985 0.004606 0.006859 0.009809 0.013881
2024-12-15 0.001073 0.001878 0.003041 0.004775 0.007214 0.010441 0.014936
2024-12-22 0.001011 0.001824 0.003023 0.004841 0.007436 0.010909 0.015797
2024-12-29 0.000974 0.001806 0.003057 0.004982 0.007764 0.011528 0.016873
2025-01-05 0.000943 0.001796 0.003101 0.005136 0.008114 0.012181 0.018003
2025-01-12 0.000844 0.001665 0.002953 0.005001 0.008043 0.012252 0.018343
2025-01-19 0.000779 0.001587 0.002880 0.004972 0.008123 0.012530 0.018967
2025-01-26 0.000709 0.001494 0.002779 0.004895 0.008126 0.012697 0.019438
2025-02-02 0.000658 0.001430 0.002721 0.004880 0.008220 0.012991 0.020089
2025-02-09 0.000605 0.001359 0.002646 0.004834 0.008263 0.013213 0.020638
2025-02-16 0.000584 0.001346 0.002668 0.004942 0.008540 0.013775 0.021676
2025-02-23 0.000526 0.001256 0.002553 0.004824 0.008467 0.013824 0.021983
2025-03-02 0.000490 0.001207 0.002507 0.004815 0.008561 0.014117 0.022643